Saturday, May 24, 2014

Decoding verdict 2014

"The  mother-son government in Delhi is on its way out.  Please make sure that you vote for stable alternative to ensure development..." 
"This wave of support in favour of  BJP will soon convert itself into a tsunami as election progresses..."
" Congress will not open account in many states and in  many others,  its tally  will not touch double digits..."  
These often repeated statements by NaMo in his rallies may have sounded like mere rhetoric at the time of election campaign.  But when the election results were declared,   these words   turned out to be so prophetic.      NaMo  not only won a decisive  verdict  from  the people but also managed to rise much higher in stature than all  others in the party  -  which  includes many veterans and erstwhile peers.   He  stands way  beyond competition now.   In addition,  the margin  of  victory gives him much needed authority which  was the main handicap for Vajpayee  when he was the PM.      
NaMo's  articulation of BJP's victory is very significant  -  he interpreted  this victory as strongly
pro-BJP rather than anti-congress.  He highlighted the fact that victory was  not by default but a hard earned one.  This is important in view of what a few others in his party  have been trying to project,  in a veiled  effort to deny due credit to party's  campaign chief.  NaMo  also reminded everyone of the responsibility to deliver on the promises  which he assured by  presenting  report cards of the government periodically.    Innocuous it may seem, the statement was aimed at claiming full control on selection of his team members in the government.     Finally, s
tatistics on vote share shows that BJP got approximately 6.5 crore votes more than Congress, resulting in  close to  240 additional seats in its favour.    This is a massive turn around with respect to the earlier  difference of abut 85 lac votes between winner congress and BJP in 2009 when congress won about 100 more seats compared to BJP.     
Equally noteworthy part of the electoral story is the   total decimation of  congress.  Rout is so devastating that  it is now deprived of even the status of an official  opposition party, having failed to win min 10% of the seats in Loksabha.   Congress team will not be able to come to terms with  the fact that its countrywide tally is half of what Amit Shah won for  BJP in a single  state of UP alone !   
All  ministers of UPA who had made NaMo bashing a part of their daily routine  (Ajay Maken, Salman Khurshid,  P.K.Bansal,  Sri Prakash Jaiswal, Farooq Abdullah, Praful Patel)  lost.    Many even lost their deposits.     A few like Shashi Taroor were lucky to scrape  through.  
Some   UPA veterans like Chidambaram and Sharad Pawar were wise to read the writing on the wall and stayed away  from the contest  which saved them  huge humiliation in the final stage of their active political career.    
Only 2 congress ministers who survived the BJP juggernaut  – Kharge and Moily.   Incidentally, they are both from  Karnataka -  a  state which gave congress party relatively respectable  tally.    It appears,    destiny of mother India is now finally free  from the clutches of a desi dynasty.   Brain storming sessions seem to be already on within congress party.   This debacle will definitely shake up all those young leaders who may have entered politics as a full time profession.   All   these young leaders  are likely to  see a very bleak future  for themselves,  with  RaGa at the helm.   Going by the current trend of the party where   RaGa's leadership style is coming under scrutiny as well as open criticism (for the first time history of the grand old party),   it will not be a surprise  if congress leaders silently shift loyalty to BJP in near future.        
AAP, the other omni-present  contender in the fray,  ended up with a big flop show.  Countrywide total votes polled by  AAP was less than those polled under NOTA !  This fact confirmed the views expressed by  many  political analysts  that AAP hype was basically a glorified creation of the media.   There were a few  scandalous theories regarding AAP's very emergence on the scene.    Their inexplicable  hurry to relinquish power in Delhi assembly followed by  the decision to put up candidates in over 400 seats all over the country were reason enough to substantiate the theory that purpose of AAP was to keep NaMo away from power by splitting anti-congress votes.      The party which was  solely dependent on anti-corruption sentiments,  appears to have thoroughly mis-judged  pulse of the people.     Without any  defined   agenda for  general governance or for any woes of the nation,  AAP was also strongly speculated to be a B team of congress.   Such negativity has been rejected by the electorate.  NaMo deserves full credit for showing exemplary  smartness to  judge  AAP's abilities very early.  He  treated AAP  dismissively  and did not even mention about them even once in his entire campaign, thus denying any undue publicity to their  outfit.    
NaMo, the PM-in-waiting :
With an official letter of appointment from  Rashtrapati's office,  NaMo is now the PM-in-waiting.     It is reported that  NaMo carries the  distinction of being the first citizen born in independent India to become the PM.  This is also symbolic in the sense that aspirations of the new generations needs to be seen in the context of  current scenario, while  keeping old values still intact.   NaMo fits this requirement very well.   Another uniqueness to NaMo is that  he is   going to be the first PM to  bring  with him a long and creditable  administrative  experience of 12 years as CM of Gujarat.      Speculations are strong regarding the future cabinet.     NaMo will surely continue to    implement   his slogan "m
inimum government, maximum governance"    by having a  compact cabinet.   Strategies like  merging different ministries to make this possible are already being talked about.  Although 81 ministers are allowed  in the central government as per constitutional provisions,  size of cabinet is  expected to be limited  to less than 50% of allowed size.  
A decisive majority has given  much needed freedom to the PM-in-waiting to select his team, without undue pressure from party and allies.   Cabinet is likely to have fresh faces and  specialised technocrats in key portfolios.   Fortunately, there is a big talent pool to choose from.   While Gen .K.Singh can add immense value as  a minister of state in defense ministry,  a huge list of able personalities  like   Arun Shourie,    Subramanian Swamy,  M.J.Akbar  and many others  with  clean image, professional experience in various fields and fresh ideas to governance can enormously enhance image and efficiency of the new government.    In any case,  we can expect to see the dawn of 
a new  era of  fresh,  "professionally   inclusive" governance which will  certainly  dump   the established practice of  skull-cap secularism.  
NaMo has definitely perfected the art of communication through speeches as well as his symbolic gestures.    His unprecedented act of bowing down to kiss the ground before his maiden  entry to central hall of Parliament (as a member and  a proposed  leader of the house) grabbed due  headlines. It also made  him deservedly stand out as someone with strong  commitment to   the cause of  democracy.    In the subsequent address to the elected members of his party in the presence of party's entire elite leadership,   he displayed his soft side with tears and choked voice while referring to party veteran Vajpayee and again  while trying to be  humble about his personal contribution to party's  victory.   It was remarkable  how  he carried himself by not trying to hide his sincere emotions and also managing it admirably without losing his  composure  for long.     NaMo  swayed  his politically astute audience with the same ease with which he  connected  with general public during election rallies.    In the end, his soft side came out strongly in the full glare of cameras for everyone to see without harming his image as a tough and no-nonsense leader.   NaMo deserves credit for showing that a soft heart is not necessarily a weakness but it can  co-exist without diluting  decisiveness of a person.   
Media has been dissecting NaMo in minute details all these years.   Most commonly heard comment  about  NaMo was  abut his  arrogance.   Chchanulal Mishra, the Hindustani vocalist who was one of the proposers of NaMo's candidature  from Varanasi,  recounted the experience of  his encounter  with NaMo.   He described the NaMo's behaviour as  self esteem and sense of pride rather than arrogance.    Many other interpretations and observations about NaMo are likely to be re-written, as he comes under much intensive media glare from now on.      
"Mein kuch banne ka nahi, kuch   karne ka sochta hoon...",     NaMo reportedly said in one of the   recent interviews.       Finally,  India is going to have  a PM who has the presence of mind to coin such inspiring lines instantly.  More importantly, his track record gives us re-assurance that  he   means what he says.    Jai Hind  !